Union Euro
Greece, The Euro, And The EU And Automatic Forex Trading
Automatic forex trading has been unpredictable recently because of Greece’s debt crisis. Many fear that this crisis in Greece is going to spread to other EU countries that are deep in debt such as Portugal, Italy, and Spain. Because of what has occurred , against the US Dollar the Euro currency has dropped about 11% . When looking at this situation we need to ask ourselves the following questions : Is the Euro sell off complete and is the recent strength in the US Dollar a result of strong fundamentals in the United States or of weakness in the Euro ? The questions are very important because the second question’s answer will have an impact on the answer to the first question.
I would argue that the US Dollar is simply benefiting right now because of Euro weakness and Euro weakness only . Steam has only been picked up in the spending driven US economy because of the Federal Reserve has left rates at near 0% for quite some time now . What will occur when the Fed has to raise these rates? Will this head wind be something the US economy can really withstand? More than likely, no. You also have to remember that currently consumers are spending more because they are walking away from their mortgage payments, credit card payments, and auto payments just to name a few . This leaves the consumer with extra income that they otherwise would not have and so they can spend more money on things like dinner out, new clothing, and the newest technology items. Again consumers are going at it like crazy. It wasn’t sustainable in the last Federal Reserve inflated boom and this time is not different . The only options for the US Dollar in the next few years are default or inflation and both will mean disaster .
When doing automatic forex trading the goal is to make some money. We are not biased toward anything . We want a profit from the foresight we have. So the second question’s answer is that the Euro is over sold and will hit a bottom at some point . Probably around 1.2300-2400 . In reality, do you really believe that Germany, one of the largest world economies, will let its currency fail ? The answer is, "probably not." And that is precisely why they are not jumping at the opportunity to print more Euros and bailout Greece . The problems in Greece will cause the Euro to become even more sound as a currency. Investors around the world will know that there is safety in the Euro because when they get into trouble they take the short term loss in order to preserve long term health . So, Therefore, their economy may be having a tough time , but their monetary unit will be better for all of this . The situation in the US of A is exactly the opposite . Short term problems are being solved by printing more money, but this leads to problems with the health of our economy and the US Dollar.
After looking at all that , we soon will be to a point where you will get a great bargain from the Euro that you should take advantage of in your own automatic forex trading. Not only for the reasons we’ve talked about , but market psychology tells you this as well . The professionals buy when there is a free fall just as the average person is catching wind of the crisis and comes in off the street to go short the move that has already happened . This is a pattern that has happened repeatedly , and this will continue to occur as long as human physiology includes limbic systems.
UKIP Nigel Farage in Croatia ,European Union membership debate , part 1- September 2011
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